Tuesday, March 3, 2020

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Split between Warren and Sanders

Progressives could face a critical coalition-building question of their own after the votes are counted on Tuesday.

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, despite failing to finish in the top-two of any of the first four nominating contests, remains determined to push on, perhaps all the way to this summer's convention in Milwaukee.

In a memo published Sunday morning, Warren campaign manager Roger Lau celebrated her February fundraising -- nearly $30 million, he wrote -- and doubled down on a strategy that depends on collecting delegates from Tuesday, right on through to late April and beyond.

"Our internal projections continue to show Elizabeth winning delegates in nearly every state in play on Super Tuesday, and in a strong position to earn a sizable delegate haul coming out of the night," Lau wrote. "But as the dust settles after March 3, the reality of this race will be clear: no candidate will likely have a path to the majority of delegates needed to win an outright claim to the Democratic nomination."

The Warren campaign believes it can emerge from the chaos -- potentially with the help of superdelegates -- and unite moderates and progressives.

"In the road to the nomination, the Wisconsin primary is halftime," Lau wrote, "and the convention in Milwaukee is the final play."

It is a bold and potentially divisive play -- one that is as likely to alienate both sides of the party's ideological divide as bring them together around Warren. There is also some disagreement among progressives over what effect Warren's departure would have on the balance of the race, with some discounting the suggestion her support would flock to Sanders.

But that cross-conversation has largely been subsumed over recent days by renewed worries over what appears to be an increasingly bitter split between Warren and Sanders and the damage it could do to a movement that largely reveres both.

Alexandra Rojas, executive director of Justice Democrats, in a statement Monday night called on Warren stop her swipes at Sanders and pledge to back him in the event he arrives in Milwaukee with a plurality of delegates.

"I hope she stops attacking Senator Sanders and publicly commits to give her delegates to him if he has more votes to ensure a progressive wins the nomination. I'd say the same to Bernie," Rojas said. "Pursuing the nomination through a contested convention without accumulating the most delegates would be harmful for our movement, our party, and the policies she's spent her life fighting for."

Some are demanding she drop out and endorse Sanders; others, including groups like the Working Families Party, cheered Buttigieg's withdrawal from the race on Sunday night, noting in a fundraising email that Warren is "the second choice for a LOT of Pete Buttigieg supporters."

The split between Sanders and Warren has become more pronounced over the last few weeks. Warren has ratcheted up her criticisms of Sanders, taking an eyebrow-raising swipe at her fellow progressive on Saturday night, after the South Carolina results came in.

"This crisis demands more than a senator who has good ideas, but whose 30-year track record shows he consistently calls for things he fails to get done, and consistently opposes things he nevertheless fails to stop," she said at a rally in Houston.

Asked on Monday whether Warren should leave the race, Sanders' deputy campaign manager Ari Rabin-Havt demurred.

"I think campaigns should always be able to make their own choices," he told reporters. "I wouldn't want them making choices for our campaign."

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Posted by Erin Burnett to Trang Ánh Nam at March 3, 2020 at 7:35 PM

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